Over the course if his career, Andrew Muhammad, Professor and Blasingame Chair who leads this research, has written over 80 refereed journal articles. He has also served as PI or Co-PI on funded research and outreach activities totaling over $6.2 million including funding from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, USDA-National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA), and the National Science Foundation (NSF). His research on global food demand has been widely cited and used in economic and global models such as USDA’s Baseline model, the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, and International Food Policy Research Institute’s (IFPRI) International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) model. His current research focuses on agricultural trade and policy, global competitiveness of U.S. agriculture, effects of trade on developing countries, and global food demand.
This page highlights selected journal articles and research projects. See Muhammad’s profile for his CV, publications and research.
Featured Research – Estimating Import Demand Elasticities
A Global Approach to Estimating Import Demand Elasticities: Insights from Major Agricultural Sectors (Supplemental Appendix)
Muhammad, A, & MD Hossen (2025) “A Global Approach to Estimating Import Demand Elasticities: Insights from Major Agricultural Sectors” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
Elasticities in Excel files from the above research (readers are allowed to use the elasticities and estimates from this research provided that the foundation papers are properly cited):
- Compensated Long Run – All Products
- Compensated Short Run – All Products
- Uncompensated Long Run – All Products
- Uncompensated Short Run – All Products
Research Projects and Grant Reports
Strengthening U.S. Beef Export Markets: Analysis of Consumer Willingness to Pay and Import Demand, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agriculture and Food Research Initiative. Proposal # 2019-05774.
Increasing Tennessee Forest Product Exports to Vietnam (Partnership with the Tennessee Department of Agriculture) U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, Emerging Markets Program (EMP). Agreement # 2021-24
Training a New Generation of Leaders in International Agricultural Trade and Development. U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA), National Needs Fellows (NNF). Proposal # 2022-04931
Annual Report for September 2022 – September 2023 | Annual Report for January – December 2024
Assessment of U.S. Beer, Wine, and Spirits for Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Rwanda: A Focus on Production, Regulatory Standards, Trade and Policy. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, Cochran Fellows Program. Agreement # FX22CO-10962R005
Research on Global Food Demand and Trade
Readers are allowed to use the elasticities and estimates from this research provided that the foundation papers are properly cited.
Muhammad, A, JL Seale, Jr, B Meade, & A Regmi International Evidence on Food Consumption Patterns: An Update Using 2005 International Comparison Program Data. Technical Bulletin TB 1929, U.S. Department of Agriculture (March 2011).
Muhammad, A, A D’Souza, B Meade, R Micha, & D Mozaffarian (2017) “How Income and Food Prices Influence Global Dietary Intakes by Age and Sex: Evidence from 164 Countries” BMJ Global Health 2:e000184.
The Influence of Income and Prices on Global Dietary Patterns by Country, Age, and Gender
Muhammad, A., D’Souza, A., Meade, B., Micha, R. & Mozaffarian, D. (2017). The Influence of Income and Prices on Global Dietary Patterns by Country, Age, and Gender. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. ERR-225.
Muhammad, A, B Meade, DR Marquardt, & D Mozaffarian (2019) “Global Patterns in Price Elasticities of Sugar-sweetened Beverage Intake and Potential Effectiveness of Tax Policy: A Cross-sectional Study of 164 Countries by Sex, Age and Global-Income Decile” BMJ Open 9:e026390.
Trade War and Related Research
Trump Tariffs 2.0: Assessing the Impacts on U.S. Distilled Spirits Imports
Muhammad, A (2025) “Trump Tariffs 2.0: Assessing the Impacts on U.S. Distilled Spirits Imports” Agribusiness: An International Journal.
Trade War Fallout: Exploring the Altered Landscape of U.S. Wooden Furniture Imports
Jiang, B, & A Muhammad (2024) “Trade War Fallout: Exploring the Altered Landscape of U.S. Wooden Furniture Imports” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. 3(1): 100-116.
Whiskey, Brexit, and the Trade War
Muhammad, A, & J Thompson (2022) “Whiskey, Brexit, and the Trade War” The International Trade Journal. 38(4): 370–386.
Can China Meet its Purchase Obligations Under the Phase One Trade Agreement?
Muhammad, A, SA Smith, & JH Grant (2022) “Can China Meet its Purchase Obligations Under the Phase One Trade Agreement?” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 44: 1392-1408.
COVID-19 and Cotton Import Demand in China
Muhammad, A, SA Smith, & TE Yu (2021) “COVID-19 and Cotton Import Demand in China” Agribusiness: An International Journal 37(1): 3-24.
Tariff Elimination and the Competitiveness of Wine-Exporting Countries in Japan
Greear, EK, & A Muhammad (2021) “Tariff Elimination and the Competitiveness of Wine-Exporting Countries in Japan” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review. 50: 76-98. (2021 Best Article Award)
The End of the Trade War? Effects of Tariff Exclusions on U.S. Forest Products in China
Muhammad, A, & K Jones (2021) “The End of the Trade War? Effects of Tariff Exclusions on U.S. Forest Products in China” Forest Policy and Economics 122: 102350.
Effects of Tariff Concessions on Japanese Beef Imports by Product and Source
Muhammad, A, A Countryman, & K Heerman (2018) “Effects of Tariff Concessions on Japanese Beef Imports by Product and Source” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review 47(1): 158-77.
Other Selected Research
Assessing the Impacts of Maritime Freight Rates on Global Beef Trade
Hossen, MD, & A Muhammad (2025) “Assessing the Impacts of Maritime Freight Rates on Global Beef Trade” Agribusiness: An International Journal.
Welfare implications of rising imported food costs in the Caribbean
Forgenie, D, SD Hutchinson, & A Muhammad (2024) “Welfare implications of rising imported food costs in the Caribbean” Journal of Agriculture and Food Research 18: 101489.
Unraveling the Impacts of Freight Rates on U.S. Containerized Agricultural Trade
Hossen, MD, A Muhammad, B Kenner, & J Kaufman (2024) “Unraveling the Impacts of Freight Rates on U.S. Containerized Agricultural Trade” Journal of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association 3(1): 199-211
Navigating the Challenges of Building a More Resilient Infant Formula Industry
Yenerall, JN, A Muhammad, KL DeLong, & T Malone (2024) “Navigating the Challenges of Building a More Resilient Infant Formula Industry” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 46(2): 499-513.
African Americans and Federal Land Policy: Exploring the Homestead Acts of 1862 and 1866
Muhammad, A, C Sicko, & TC Olsson (2024) “African Americans and Federal Land Policy: Exploring the Homestead Acts of 1862 and 1866” Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy 46(1): 95-110.
Why Are Eggs so Expensive? Understanding the Recent Spike in Egg Prices
Muhammad, A, C Martinez, & A Lawani (2023) “Why Are Eggs so Expensive? Understanding the Recent Spike in Egg Prices” Choices 38(2).
Dynamic Analysis of Source-Based Preferences: The Case of Imported Beer in China
Muhammad, A, AR Delmond, & FK Nti (2021) “Dynamic Analysis of Source-Based Preferences: The Case of Imported Beer in China” British Food Journal. 123(13): 362-383.
The Spillover Effect of Export Processing Zones
Hong, C, W Wu, & A Muhammad (2020) “The Spillover Effect of Export Processing Zones” China Economic Review 63: 101478.
In Vino ‘No’ Veritas: Impacts of Fraud on Wine Imports in China
Muhammad, A, & A Countryman (2019) “In Vino ‘No’ Veritas: Impacts of Fraud on Wine Imports in China” Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 63: 742-58.
The Evolution of Foreign Wine Demand in China
Muhammad, A, A Leister, L McPhail, & W Chen (2014) “The Evolution of Foreign Wine Demand in China” Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 58:392-408.